Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.035616 0.041634 0.048263 0.056092 0.065073 0.075039 0.086920
2025-06-15 0.027622 0.035728 0.045491 0.058058 0.073746 0.092617 0.116965
2025-06-22 0.021263 0.030097 0.041611 0.057588 0.079034 0.106657 0.144729
2025-06-29 0.016400 0.025202 0.037519 0.055795 0.081948 0.117698 0.169858
2025-07-06 0.013156 0.021782 0.034657 0.054935 0.085639 0.129848 0.197605
2025-07-13 0.011607 0.020520 0.034589 0.057923 0.095002 0.150795 0.239924
2025-07-20 0.010189 0.019153 0.034062 0.059992 0.103058 0.170503 0.282343
2025-07-27 0.008445 0.016876 0.031640 0.058547 0.105199 0.181136 0.311653
2025-08-03 0.007178 0.015192 0.029920 0.057949 0.108508 0.193760 0.345138
2025-08-10 0.005978 0.013393 0.027683 0.056053 0.109230 0.201997 0.371940
2025-08-17 0.005053 0.011956 0.025875 0.054640 0.110539 0.211202 0.401038
2025-08-24 0.004437 0.011045 0.024940 0.054731 0.114558 0.225445 0.440109
2025-08-31 0.003752 0.009862 0.023294 0.053237 0.115490 0.234401 0.470960
2025-09-07 0.003501 0.009638 0.023651 0.055928 0.125005 0.260301 0.535603
2025-09-14 0.003080 0.008914 0.022787 0.055884 0.128929 0.275846 0.581997
2025-09-21 0.002625 0.008003 0.021343 0.054339 0.129493 0.284792 0.616317
2025-09-28 0.002283 0.007320 0.020322 0.053598 0.131673 0.297139 0.658406
2025-10-05 0.002175 0.007266 0.020843 0.056571 0.142429 0.328132 0.740964
2025-10-12 0.002031 0.007073 0.020981 0.058623 0.151297 0.355890 0.819023
2025-10-19 0.001756 0.006425 0.019807 0.057221 0.151926 0.365944 0.860489
2025-10-26 0.001550 0.005942 0.019000 0.056642 0.154436 0.380312 0.912357
2025-11-02 0.001329 0.005350 0.017782 0.054789 0.153583 0.387015 0.947894
2025-11-09 0.001152 0.004868 0.016793 0.053407 0.153735 0.395984 0.989157